Conflict on the Black Sea: a review of Ukraine sunflowerseed
10.11.2022 13:35 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) —
The Russian invasion of Ukraine triggered a series of major impacts on the global oilseeds market. Prior to the conflict, Ukraine ranked as the top producer of sunflowerseed and top exporter of sunflowerseed products, representing about half of global trade in 2020/21. Though the situation is still ongoing, the close of the marketing year (September 2021-August 2022) provides an opportunity to assess the impacts of the conflict on sunflowerseed trade flows. Before the war, Ukraine produced sunflowerseed primarily to crush domestically and then exported the meal to China, the EU, and Turkey and oil to India, China, and the EU. The onset of hostilities dealt a massive blow to logistics, infrastructure, and port access as railways, roadways, and storage and processing facilities were all targets of Russian attacks. Domestic processors reduced operations, faced with both limited opportunities to export through regular maritime shipping routes and dwindling storage capacity. The resulting glut of unprocessed sunflowerseed found new export destinations in geographically accessible countries with available crush capacity such as the EU, Turkey, and Moldova. Though shipments picked up significantly in September, less than a quarter million tons of sunflowerseed products departed Ukraine as part of the Black Sea Grains Initiative between its commencement on August 1, 2022 and the end of the marketing year. Given market dynamics, sunflowerseed products made up a small portion of total volume compared to feed grains and sunflowerseed shipments were minimal. The shifts in destination and product type impacted global consumption as prices rose and exports fell. In the EU, access to inexpensive Ukraine sunflower seed for crush led to sunflowerseed meal and oil making up larger percentages of total oilseed consumption in MY 2021/22. In China, pandemic restrictions, a weaker economy, and sluggish consumption combined with high global vegetable oil prices and reduced supplies of Ukraine sunflowerseed oil contributed to lower total vegetable oil imports for the year. In all, Ukraine exported more than seven-and-a-half times as much sunflowerseed, 26 percent less sunflowerseed meal, and 15 percent less sunflowerseed oil than in the previous year. The tumultuous year in trade has left the country with massively bloated sunflowerseed stocks heading into MY 2022/23. The current-year trade forecasts for Ukraine sunflowerseed and products reflect lower production expectations as well as the assumption of continued distorted trade patterns and limited crush. Currently, Ukraine exports for MY 2022/23 are forecast at 1.95 million tons of sunflowerseed, 2.75 million tons of sunflowerseed meal, and 3.60 million tons of sunflowerseed oil. The EU is expected to continue importing large volumes of sunflowerseed due to drought impacts to its own oilseed crops. Continued volatility in the region, damage to infrastructure, and the fragility of the Black Sea Grains Initiative remain points of uncertainty that will determine the volume and destination of exports able to leave the country. AGRO PERSPECTIVA offers Agro + «Ukrainian Grain & Oilseed Market» weekly analytical bulletin. Concerning subscription please contact: client@agroperspectiva.com or +380675964652 (WhatsApp, Viber, Telegram).
28.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
12:55 |
Council compromise on Ukraine ATMs – Only a half step forward in the right direction |
|
09:18 |
Commission approves amendment to Italian State aid scheme to support companies in Friuli Venezia Giulia in the context of Russia's war against Ukraine |
26.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
10:55 |
Projected famine in Gaza: FAO urges immediate access to deliver urgent and critical assistance at scale. About 1.1 million people are experiencing catastrophic food insecurity |
|
08:44 |
EU makes major step forward in the delivery of 2024 humanitarian aid for Palestinians in Gaza* |
25.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
16:17 |
Commission approves ˆ86.9 million Bulgarian State aid scheme to support farmers in the context of Russia's war against Ukraine |
21.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
11:15 |
Commission takes action to boost biotechnology and biomanufacturing in the EU |
20.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
11:13 |
Deal to extend trade support for Ukraine with safeguards for EU farmers |
19.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
09:43 |
CAP - The Commission proposes simplifications that safeguard agricultural transitions! |
18.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:10 |
The European Union and Switzerland launch negotiations to deepen bilateral relations |
|
10:05 |
Commission proposes targeted review of Common Agricultural Policy to support EU farmers |
15.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:36 |
Cargill Power CanolaTM Program Helps Farmers Take Advantage of Growing Bioenergy Market Opportunities for Canadian Canola |
|
23:19 |
FAO will provide Ukrainian farmers with soybean and sunflower seeds for spring sowing campaign |
13.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:27 |
FAO urges more cooperation in banana sector, significant for some least developed and low-income food-deficit countries and smallholder farmers |
|
16:51 |
The European Commission sets out key steps for managing climate risks to protect people and prosperity |
12.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
20:25 |
Coreper and COMENVI approve the provisional agreement on EU Carbon Removal Certification Framework |
|
20:24 |
INTA MEPs fail EU producers by dismissing potential improvements to Ukraine ATMs |
|
08:10 |
Soybean meal is expected to be a more competitive feed ingredient on higher global supplies. |
11.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
09:11 |
U.S. Corn Exports Shift Destinations as Brazil Captures China Market |
08.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
15:20 |
Conflicts push acute food insecurity higher |
|
13:21 |
FAO Food Price Index declines further in February |
|
13:14 |
Packaging: Council and Parliament strike a deal to make packaging more sustainable and reduce packaging waste in the EU |
|
11:45 |
Commission approves ˆ61.3 million Bulgarian State aid scheme to support farmers, producers of grain and oil crops, in the context of Russia's war against Ukraine |
07.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
20:41 |
First go-ahead to renewing trade support for Ukraine and Moldova |
05.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
15:55 |
Commission proposes to prolong road transport agreements with Ukraine and Moldova and introduces updates to the agreement with Ukraine |
02.03.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
07:31 |
Heroes of deserts and highlands: Nourishing people and culture |
23.02.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
10:21 |
BASF’s financial strength supports proposed stable dividend of ˆ3.40 per share for the 2023 business year |
|
10:17 |
The Council has chosen to ignore farmers' concerns regarding Ukraine ATMs; it is now imperative for the European Parliament to take action |
20.02.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
20:27 |
South Asia is anticipated to import nearly 14 million tons wheat in 2023/24 |
19.02.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
13:00 |
Cargill and ENOUGH expand partnership to provide consumers with innovative, sustainable protein options |
17.02.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
17:47 |
Global Environment Facility approves new FAO-led projects and programs benefiting 46 countries |
16.02.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
09:10 |
The EU is at a crossroads with the Ukrainian agricultural issue - COPA-COGECA, AVES, CEFS, CEPM, CIBE, EUWEP |
13.02.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
17:31 |
European farmers exempted from rules on land lying fallow |
12.02.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
16:45 |
India Wheat Stocks Plummet to Lowest in 15 Years |
03.02.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
17:35 |
Mandarins. Global production for 2023/24 is forecast to rise to 38.0 million tons |
|
09:59 |
Record cereal output in 2023 |
|
07:15 |
FAO Food Price Index down again in January led by lower wheat and maize prices |
29.01.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
10:32 |
President von der Leyen launches Strategic Dialogue on the Future of EU Agriculture |
26.01.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
11:31 |
Record Exports Forecast for Egypt Oranges |
23.01.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
17:55 |
With the Federal Chancellor in the show bakery |
19.01.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
11:45 |
Organic production in Ukraine |
16.01.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:25 |
Domestic consumption of dairy products may double in 2024 – analysts |
12.01.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:53 |
Competition Tightens for Leading Pork Exporter |
|
22:55 |
Peru Fish Meal Exports at Lowest Level Since 2015/16 El Niño |
|
22:43 |
Grains Trade Disrupted by Challenges in Key Shipping Routes |
10.01.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
15:38 |
In China, the largest import market for dairy products, surplus raw milk production led to government subsidies to stabilize the domestic processing sector |
09.01.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
11:55 |
The FAO Sugar Price Index averaged 134.6 points in December, down 26.8 points from November |
06.01.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
12:43 |
Polish fish and seafood imports continued to grow in 2022 and reached over $3 billion, with a $129 million (4 percent market share) originating from the USA |
05.01.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
17:21 |
EU imports are dominated by unroasted green coffee beans, which accounts for about 90 percent of trade |
|
17:00 |
FAO Food Price Index declines in December. Benchmark measure of world food commodity prices ends 2023 about 10 percent below its year-earlier level |
29.12.2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
09:53 |
Global and Bank of Georgia sign EUR50 million loan agreement to support small businesses |
Also available:
|