Homepage  Homepage     Search on site  Search on site     To write the letter  To write the letter     Site map  Site map
Agro Perspectiva
We are on: 
   
 


Home > News

Bulgarian rapeseed production is forecast to rebound in MY 2021/22

11.08.2021 15:45 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) Following are selected highlights from a report issued by a U.S.Department of Agriculture attache in The Sofia, Bulgarian rapeseed production is forecast to rebound in MY 2021/22. As of mid-July, the rapeseed harvest was 46percent complete with reported yields exceeding earlier estimates and production projected to reach up to 360,000MT.

Executive Summary:

FAS Sofia expects Bulgarian rapeseed production to rebound in marketing year (MY) 2021/22. As of mid-July, the rapeseed harvest was 46percent complete with reported yields exceeding earlier estimates and production projected to reach up to 360,000metric tons (MT). Rain and cooler temperatures in the spring were favorable for early sunflower crop development. However, these conditions prevented an increase in area planted. Scorching summer temperatures to date are likely to reduce the yield potential, although yields are still projected to recover from MY 2020/21. Post maintains its previous production projection at 2.0MMT.

MY 2020/21exports of rapeseed and sunflower seeds are currently lagging behind the previous season due to the shorter crop and growing domestic crush demand. Both rapeseed and sunflower exports are estimated lower to about 200,000MT and 800,000MT, respectively.

Weather Overview

The development of oilseed crops is progressing well in the north of Bulgaria, but a soil moisture deficit is affecting crops in central-southern parts of the country. Overall typical seasonal temperatures experienced in early June were interrupted by a heatwave in the last ten days of June, followed by several heatwaves in July. Maximum temperatures during these periods were up to 38–39C (100–102F). A rainfall deficit was recorded in western and southern Bulgaria. Soil moisture levels are at adequate levels in the north, while a deficit is negatively affecting the crops in parts of southern Bulgaria, due to the lack of substantial rainfall in July. Soil moisture reserves which were at high levels as of mid-June began to quickly decline to levels comparable to a year ago by the end of July. While the weather was good for the rapeseed harvest, hot and dry conditions in July, which is the period of critical yield formation for

sunflowers, may have a negative impact on the crop.

MY 2021/22Forecast

Rapeseed: Despite late planting in the fall of 2020, attractive prices encouraged farmers to increase area planted above earlier expectations to 133,000hectares (HA), 12percent above MY 2020/21. Mild winter weather conditions, along with a cool and rainy spring supported favorable

crop development, but delayed harvest by about two weeks. According to the Ministry of Agricultures weekly harvest reports, 46percent of the rapeseed harvest was complete as of July 15. Average yields to date were recorded at 2.74MT/HA, 22percent more than a year ago. Private yield estimates are as

high as 3.0MT/HA, with the European Commissions current projection at 2.95MT/HA. Post expects average yields at 2.8MT/HA, higher than previously projected, and for production to reach 360,000MT.

Early season farm-gate prices are significantly higher than in MY 2020/21. According to the Ministry of Agriculture, the average farm-gate price for July is at 937.50Bleva/MT ($551/MT) compared to 697.00Bleva/MT ($410/MT) in July 2020. This is expected to drive up rapeseed exports.

Sunflower: Due to a rainy spring, access and work in the fields were challenging and farmers could not plant the targeted sunflower area. As a result, FAS Sofia lowers its projection to838,000HA. Spring rains were very favorable for sunflower development. However, summer heat waves with scorching

temperatures are already affecting yield potential. The European Commissions current projection for the average yield is 2.46MT/HA. Production estimates vary from 1.9MMT to 2.1MMT. Post forecasts production at 2.0MMT, with average yields of 2.4MT/HA.

As of July 2021, farm-gate sunflower prices continued to exceed last years levels. The Ministry of Agriculture reported prices in July at 1,023Bleva/MT ($602/MT), 56percent higher than a year ago.

MY 2021/22exports are forecast to rebound due to improved crop prospects.

Agro Perspectiva

< Inflation in Ukraine up to 10.2% in July - statistics All news for
11.08.2021
Mexico. Chicken production is estimated at 3.9 MMT in 2022 >

17.04.2024  
18:08 Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food predicts this years harvest of grains and oilseeds at about 74 million tonnes
16.04.2024  
12:12 West Africa Cocoa Shortage Pushes Up Prices
11.04.2024  
23:48 U.S. Soybean Meal Exports Forecast at Consecutive Records in 2022/23 and 2023/24
23:10 EU Wheat Exports Challenged by Russias Growing Dominance
11:30 Country of origin of honey must be clearly visible on the label. EU honey traceability system to be developed
10.04.2024  
15:59 Commission starts setting up the Agriculture and Food Chain Observatory
15:33 Commission approves 2.2 billion German State aid scheme to support the decarbonisation of industrial processes to foster the transition to a net-zero economy
13:17 Donau Soja urges EU for clarity on EUDR implementation
09.04.2024  
10:44 Ukraine remained the third source of EU imports in 2023, with a value of EUR 11.8 billion
06.04.2024  
10:04 World cereal output seen up in 2023/24
09:55 FAO Food Price Index rises in March
05.04.2024  
10:04 Shellfish Crop Insurance Program Offers Oyster Producers Needed Protection from Environmental Challenges and More
03.04.2024  
23:01 Croatian horseradish root Ludbreški hren' added to register of Protected Designations of Origin
02.04.2024  
10:15 FAO and chef Fatmata Binta announce new project to empower women fonio producers in Ghana
28.03.2024  
12:55 Council compromise on Ukraine ATMs Only a half step forward in the right direction
09:18 Commission approves amendment to Italian State aid scheme to support companies in Friuli Venezia Giulia in the context of Russia's war against Ukraine
26.03.2024  
10:55 Projected famine in Gaza: FAO urges immediate access to deliver urgent and critical assistance at scale. About 1.1 million people are experiencing catastrophic food insecurity
08:44 EU makes major step forward in the delivery of 2024 humanitarian aid for Palestinians in Gaza*
25.03.2024  
16:17 Commission approves 86.9 million Bulgarian State aid scheme to support farmers in the context of Russia's war against Ukraine
21.03.2024  
11:15 Commission takes action to boost biotechnology and biomanufacturing in the EU
20.03.2024  
11:13 Deal to extend trade support for Ukraine with safeguards for EU farmers
19.03.2024  
09:43 CAP - The Commission proposes simplifications that safeguard agricultural transitions!
18.03.2024  
23:10 The European Union and Switzerland launch negotiations to deepen bilateral relations
10:05 Commission proposes targeted review of Common Agricultural Policy to support EU farmers
15.03.2024  
23:36 Cargill Power CanolaTM Program Helps Farmers Take Advantage of Growing Bioenergy Market Opportunities for Canadian Canola
23:19 FAO will provide Ukrainian farmers with soybean and sunflower seeds for spring sowing campaign
13.03.2024  
23:27 FAO urges more cooperation in banana sector, significant for some least developed and low-income food-deficit countries and smallholder farmers
16:51 The European Commission sets out key steps for managing climate risks to protect people and prosperity
12.03.2024  
20:25 Coreper and COMENVI approve the provisional agreement on EU Carbon Removal Certification Framework
20:24 INTA MEPs fail EU producers by dismissing potential improvements to Ukraine ATMs
08:10 Soybean meal is expected to be a more competitive feed ingredient on higher global supplies.
11.03.2024  
09:11 U.S. Corn Exports Shift Destinations as Brazil Captures China Market
08.03.2024  
15:20 Conflicts push acute food insecurity higher
13:21 FAO Food Price Index declines further in February
13:14 Packaging: Council and Parliament strike a deal to make packaging more sustainable and reduce packaging waste in the EU
11:45 Commission approves 61.3 million Bulgarian State aid scheme to support farmers, producers of grain and oil crops, in the context of Russia's war against Ukraine
07.03.2024  
20:41 First go-ahead to renewing trade support for Ukraine and Moldova
05.03.2024  
15:55 Commission proposes to prolong road transport agreements with Ukraine and Moldova and introduces updates to the agreement with Ukraine
02.03.2024  
07:31 Heroes of deserts and highlands: Nourishing people and culture
23.02.2024  
10:21 BASFs financial strength supports proposed stable dividend of 3.40 per share for the 2023 business year
10:17 The Council has chosen to ignore farmers' concerns regarding Ukraine ATMs; it is now imperative for the European Parliament to take action
20.02.2024  
20:27 South Asia is anticipated to import nearly 14 million tons wheat in 2023/24
19.02.2024  
13:00 Cargill and ENOUGH expand partnership to provide consumers with innovative, sustainable protein options
17.02.2024  
17:47 Global Environment Facility approves new FAO-led projects and programs benefiting 46 countries
16.02.2024  
09:10 The EU is at a crossroads with the Ukrainian agricultural issue - COPA-COGECA, AVES, CEFS, CEPM, CIBE, EUWEP
13.02.2024  
17:31 European farmers exempted from rules on land lying fallow
12.02.2024  
16:45 India Wheat Stocks Plummet to Lowest in 15 Years
03.02.2024  
17:35 Mandarins. Global production for 2023/24 is forecast to rise to 38.0 million tons
09:59 Record cereal output in 2023
07:15 FAO Food Price Index down again in January led by lower wheat and maize prices

Also available: 


NewsNews - News - News - News - News - News
BriefWeekly Reports - Free article
SubscriptionTariff - News&Reports
AdvertisingMagazine - Site
ConferencesForum AGRO-2013 - DAIRY WORLD-2008 - FERTILIZERS-2010
Statistics
For our clientsAgroNewsDaily - Ukrainian Grain&Oilseed Market - Fertilizers - Milk Monthly - Milk Weekly
About usAbout project - Contact
2002 -2024 © Agrarika, ltd.
tel.: +380 67 4473802; +380 67 5964652
e-mail: client@agroperspectiva.com