World apple production for 2024/25 is forecast to fall nearly 350,000 tons to 84.0 million
14.12.2024 21:03 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) —
According to the report of the USDA Fresh Apples, Grapes, and Pears: World Markets and Trade (December 2024), world apple production for 2024/25 is forecast to fall nearly 350,000 tons to 84.0 million as losses in the European Union, United States, Turkey, and Russia more than offset an increase in China production. Exports are projected down less than 100,000 tons to 6.1 million on lower shipments from the United States and Iran more than offsetting increased exports from China. China production is forecast up 1.5 million tons to 48.0 million on normal growing conditions. Higher-yielding varieties continue to replace older varieties, offsetting the decline in area planted. Exports are projected up nearly 100,000 tons to 1.0 million on higher shipments to Indonesia, Philippines, and Thailand driven by ample exportable supply and low domestic prices. Imports are projected up nearly 20,000 tons to 105,000 on recovering New Zealand production. EU production is projected down 1.1 million tons to 11.0 million on poor pollination and damaging spring frosts in top-producer Poland. Exports are forecast unchanged at 950,000 tons despite lower production as shipments to Egypt rebound from last year’s 6-year low. Imports are expected to rise nearly 40 percent to 350,000 tons to compensate for lower production. U.S. production is projected down nearly 150,000 tons to 4.9 million after last year’s bumper crop but remains above the 10-year average. USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) surveyed industry and published a U.S. forecast for apple production in the August 2024 Crop Production report. Exports are forecast down nearly 10 percent to 820,000 tons on lower production. Imports are forecast up slightly to 90,000 tons, the second lowest level in 40 years, as the volume of apples in cold storage remains elevated compared to normal levels. Turkey production is forecast down 600,000 tons to 4.2 million due to insufficient winter chill hours, dry weather, and a shortage of irrigation water. This is the second year of declining production after Turkey reached a record level in 2022/23. Exports are forecast up slightly to 330,000 tons as export-oriented growers were less impacted by the adverse weather conditions.
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