 |
Strong CPO Prices Will Not Be Long
17.08.2010 10:34 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) —
The current strong crude palm oil (CPO) price rally is not expected to last long, says a research house.
ECM Libra Investment Research says the price will see a retracement in coming weeks on factors such as negative export numbers or on the expectation that stock levels may rise by end of this month.
"We feel that prices will continue to be externally driven by soy prices which have been trending up despite there being no fundamental drivers.
«As such, we see the current price rally will likely see a retracement soon,» it said in its weekly review Monday
ECM Libra said CPO stock levels dropped three per cent in July and believed the levels have bottomed out by now.
Production will be on the rise from now and with August exports looking weak, it believed stock levels have a good chance of ticking up this month.
This would likely see CPO prices normalising in coming weeks, it said.
It said with Ramadan period arriving earlier this year, pre-stocking by Pakistan stepped up in July and offsetted 38 per cent month-on-month drop from China.
It said exports to India also increased significantly due to festive season pre-stocking.
As such, ECM Libra sees potential for exports to decline this month, as pre-stocking comes to a close (unless orders from China pick up).
For this year, ECM Libra said it will likely look to revising up slightly its CPO average selling price of RM2,400 per tonne to RM2,600.
Impact to target prices will be less than 10 per cent from this change, it said.
It said positive and negative events to be watched in the near term will be the La Nina phenomenon, by how much wheat prices are going to rise and drive up soy bean prices and decline in CPO exports in post-festive season pre-stocking.
La Nina is characterised by unusually cold ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific compared to El Nino characterised by unusually warm ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific.
ECM Libra said July production numbers were fairly strong, with a seven per cent month-on-month increase, compared with 2.5 per cent rise from May to June.
The general market expectation for July was weak production numbers (due to La Nina), but it turned out quite the opposite, it added.
22.12.2024 |
|
 |
|
|
 |
05:26 |
FAO transfers 185 generators, 6,474 grain hoses to Ukrainian farmers in 2024 |
|
03:53 |
The EU agri-food trade surplus increased by 15% in September 2024, reaching EUR 6 billion |
19.12.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
09:05 |
World coffee production for 2024/25 is forecast 6.9 million bags higher |
18.12.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:11 |
China’s Expanding Coffee Consumption |
17.12.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
22:37 |
Bangladesh Soybean Import Recovery Expected to Continue |
14.12.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
21:03 |
World apple production for 2024/25 is forecast to fall nearly 350,000 tons to 84.0 million |
13.12.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
09:11 |
U.S. Fresh Pear Exports Fall on Historically Low Harvest |
10.12.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
21:03 |
Indonesia Grain Imports to Subside after 2023/24 Record |
|
08:14 |
Higher vegetable oil quotations drive up FAO Food Price Index, but lower cereal and sugar prices temper the rise |
|
07:45 |
Cereal trade revised downwards amid weaker demand |
02.12.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:17 |
Prime Minister: Some 50 partner countries have joined the humanitarian demining coalition |
|
22:56 |
Norway pledges additional $4.5 mln to Ukraine's Grain from Ukraine initiative |
01.12.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
03:30 |
EU agri-food trade slowed down in August 2024 |
26.11.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
00:06 |
Global sugar production, compared to last year, is estimated up 2.8 million tons to 186.6 million |
24.11.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
04:43 |
During the Operation of Our Grain From Ukraine Program, We Have Managed to Save 20 Million People from Hunger – Zelenskyy |
|
04:15 |
Ukraine Is Ready to Share Technologies, Military Experiences and Processing Methods with African Countries – the President |
22.11.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
10:15 |
South Africa Sugar Production and Exports Estimated Down |
19.11.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:04 |
Global Olive Oil Production Forecast to Rebound in 2024/25 |
|
22:47 |
Vitalii Koval discusses Ukraine's European integration with European colleagues |
|
16:06 |
EBRD, European Union and United States help Kyiv prepare for winter |
18.11.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
09:21 |
Agriculture Development Strategy 2030 – a roadmap to the EU |
|
09:19 |
Ukrainian farmers have sown 96% of projected winter crop area |
01.11.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
20:31 |
Ukraine has officially joined the International Fund for Agricultural Development |
|
20:29 |
Ukrainian farmers harvested 63.7 million tonnes of grains and oilseeds |
25.10.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
22:50 |
Agriculture hit hard: October port strikes rack up 30-40 million dollars in losses |
|
21:04 |
Ministry of Agrarian Policy expects exports to rise in dollar terms |
|
10:57 |
Ukrainian corn seed flows to Europe in further farm trade shift |
24.10.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:02 |
Tree Nut Import Markets Highly Concentrated |
23.10.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
11:18 |
Prime Minister UK warns Russian threat to global stability is accelerating as Putin ramps up attacks on Black Sea |
15.10.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
09:35 |
Brazil Continues to Dominate Growth in Global Chicken Meat Exports in 2025 |
11.10.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:33 |
China Cottonseed Imports Show Strong Demand in Recent Years |
|
20:30 |
India Removes Rice Export Ban, Spurring Additional Trade |
30.09.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
17:27 |
List of agricultural machinery with cost compensation expanded to 11,300 items |
29.09.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
20:21 |
1 in 11 people worldwide faced hunger in 2023, 1 in 5 in Africa If current trends continue, about 582 million people will be chronically undernourished in 2030, half of them in Africa |
|
17:13 |
EU agri-food surplus increased in the first half of 2024 |
27.09.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
09:02 |
BASF presents new corporate strategy: BASF is setting a new direction for portfolio steering, capital allocation and performance culture |
26.09.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
10:25 |
BASF sets new direction with corporate strategy and maintains high level of shareholder distributions |
21.09.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
18:30 |
Three new sites recognized as Globally Important Agricultural Heritage Systems (GIAHS) |
17.09.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
09:52 |
Cargill and Ducks Unlimited Working Together to Restore Watersheds Across North America |
|
08:44 |
FAO calls for G20 cooperation as hunger targets continue to elude |
|
06:40 |
FAO sees open trade as a cornerstone of global food security |
13.09.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
07:08 |
U.S. Soybean Meal Hits 10‐Year High for Export Sales |
12.09.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
21:26 |
U.S. Corn Exports Buoyed by Large Supplies |
11.09.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
04:30 |
Global cereal production 2024 forecast on par with 2023 output, cereal trade likely to contract |
06.09.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
11:35 |
FAO Food Price Index down marginally in August: lower sugar, meat and cereal quotations offset higher dairy and vegetable oil prices |
|
10:34 |
Cargill acquires two US feed mills, strengthens production and distribution capabilities to grow with customers |
05.09.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
09:23 |
PM: Plan to develop small generation facilities to reduce vulnerability to terrorism |
30.08.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
05:03 |
Taras Vysotskyi discusses agricultural cooperation with Hungarian counterpart István Nagy |
19.08.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
12:00 |
OTP BANK RECEIVED A $2.76 MILLION GRANT FROM USAID INVESTMENT FOR BUSINESS RESILIENCE ACTIVITY FOR CONCESSIONAL LENDING TO MICRO, SMALL, AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISES |
16.08.2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
17:10 |
Cargill and Goanna Ag Pilot Irrigation Efficiency Technology on Mississippi Delta Cotton Fields |
Also available: 
|
| |
|
|
