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UKRAINIAN DAIRY MARKET

AGRO PERSPECTIVE «AGRO+ MILK UKRAINE #65 May 5, 2011.

UAH official exchange rate (up to National Bank of Ukraine) against
several foreign currencies   
 

04.05.2011

27.04.2011

20.04.2011

13.04.2011

100 US$

796,5300

796,5400

796,5400

796,7400

100 EUR

1183,6436

1164,3025

1139,2115

1152,8828

10 RUB

2,8962

2,8554

2,8026

2,8308

100 KZT

5,4729

5,476

5,4749

5,4808

As to State Statistics Committee data, Ukrainian Mar 2011 milk import has boosted to 102 MT (up 43.4% against Feb 2011 (71 MT) and up 6,8 times as of Mar 2010).
As to Committee, Ukrainian Mar 2011 milk export has fallen to 539 MT (down 37% against Feb 2011). As of Mar 2011, Moldova was biggest purchaser of Ukrainian milk — 188 MT; Kazakhstan was second biggest — 155 MT.
Within this year Apr Ukrainian domestic whey market purchasers’ demand was rather low resulting in whey prices’ decline. As a result, within this week (as to market operators data) standard whey demand prices have fallen to  UAH7,300–7,500 per MT; demineralized whey sellers have declined their goods’ prices to UAH9,000 per MT (and down). Experts affirm prices’ fall is mainly due to export companies’ demand absence.
Immediately after having sold off cheeses produced within winter, Ukrainian cheese-makers have once again significantly boosted cheeses’ output. Unfortunately, cheeses’ output boost has been motivated not by domestic/foreign markets’ demand growth: in fact, cheese-makers simply had to use their raw milk resources and therefore, as it was unprofitable to carry out milk drying, have chosen to continue producing cheeses (whose output still remained profitable taking into account raw milk resources’ purchase prices). Thus, Ukrainian cheese-makers have already within this year Mar surged rennet cheeses (incl. rennet  cheese products) output  to 14,000 MT, up 44% against this year Feb; cheese output has been boosted by both big as well as small producers. Cheeses’ output boost, in its turn, forced market operators to stimulate cheeses’ market sale rates through sale prices’ lowering: thus, within this year Apr most market operators have lowered cheeses’ sale prices by 5–10%, so within this year mid Apr traditional cheeses’ sale prices ranged within UAH42–43 per kg (cheese products — about UAH32–33 per kg). 
Within reporting week Ukrainian domestic market SMP offer prices ranged within UAH26–27 per kg; SMP export prices (for non-CIS countries) fluctuated within US$2,800–2,950 per MT, up 5% as of last week US$2,650–2,800 per MT.
Within reporting week domestic market cheese prices ranged within UAH40–44 per kg. As of this week, Ukrainian companies exported cheese in just small lots with export prices fluctuating within US$5,500–5,650 per MT.  
Within this week domestic casein market situation has slightly changed against previous week: casein prices have declined to UAH70–73 per kg, down 1% as of last week UAH72–74 per kg. However, domestic casein trade rates were very slack.
As of this week, domestic market butter prices have grown by 8% against previous week, — up to UAH33–34 per kg; this week butter export prices have sagged to US$3,800–4,000 per MT, down 7.1% as of last week. 

 Ukrainian dairy products’ export prices (US$ per MT)

Article

 

05.05.2011

28.04.2011

Apr  2011

Mar  2011

Apr  2010

MIN

MAX

MIN

MAX

SMP

2,800

2,950

2,650

2,800

2,813

3,063

2,860

WMP

=

3,600

3,700

3,600

3,700

3,650

3,819

3,270

Block butter (72.5%, DSTU)

¯

3,800

4,000

4,100

4,300

4,200

4,250

3,360

Hard full-fat cheeses (45–50%)

5,500

5,650

5,300

5,400

5,263

5,688

4,880

Highest grade technical casein

=

8,550

8,700

8,550

8,700

8,669

9,188

6,985

SMP − Skimmed Milk Powder, WMP − Whole Milk Powder

Ukrainian dairy products’ domestic market prices,
EXW plant (UAH per MT, incl. VAT)    

Article

 

05.05.2011

28.04.2011

Apr 2011

Mar 2011

Apr  2010

MIN

MAX

MIN

MAX

SMP

26,000

27,000

23,000

26,000

24,875

27,500

25,000

WMP

35,000

36,000

34,500

35,500

35,250

35,625

30,300

Block butter (72.5%, DSTU)

33,000

34,000

30,000

32,000

32,875

36,000

26,100

Hard full-fat cheeses (45–50%)

¯

40,000

44,000

41,000

44,000

42,875

45,750

41,350

Highest grade technical casein

¯

70,000

73,000

71,000

73,000

72,500

74,375

57,400

SMP − Skimmed Milk Powder, WMP − Whole Milk Powder

23.05.2011


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