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UKRAINIAN DAIRY MARKET

AGRO PERSPECTIVE «AGRO+ MILK UKRAINE #44 December 2, 2010.

No significant changes occurred in the Ukrainian market of dairy products last week. The level of trading activity of domestic operators and exporters remains rather low.
The majority of dairy products are exported in small batches due to that fact that the world market considers the domestic foodstuffs non-competitive.
Prices for all types of dairy goods remained unchanged during the reporting period.
According to estimates, there are about 6,000 MT of butter and 10,000–12,000 MT of milk powder in the country’s storage facilities; in other words, the reserves of whole-milk products are sufficient to restrain prices for them in the near 1.5–2 months in spite of the seasonal factor.
The WMP stock is small. However, since this is an unclaimed article, it is not expected to grow in price. The production of cheese has fallen significantly. For this reason the stock of whey is small and this can prompt the growth in price.

SMP

Within this week domestic market high-quality SMP offer prices remained at UAH22–25 per kg (low-quality — UAH21–22 per kg), same as within last week. 
As of this week, SMP export prices ranged within US$2,450–2,500 per MT compared with US$2,400–2,600 per MT last week. 

WMP

Within reporting week domestic and export WMP prices remained at UAH35–37 per kg and US$3,800 per MT respectively. 

BUTTER

Within this week butter 72.5% fat domestic market offer prices made up UAH39–41.5 per kg. 
Ukrainian butter is exported in slight volumes and mainly in packs. Export has become unattractive because butter 72.5% fat average export price should have already risen to US$5,000 per MT. However, it has no sense to sell butter at this price.

CHEESES

As to Ukrainian traders/producers data, within reporting week domestic market demand for cheese (as well as all other dairy products) has somewhat slackened. 
Within this week cheeses 50% fat domestic market offer prices ranged within UAH43–45 per kg; it is to be admitted, there were rather large spreads between prices of same kind of cheese depending on the quality, producer popularity, and sale region.  
As of this week, domestic market offer prices for lower quality cheeses (that is, cheese products) were UAH34–36 per kg. Within reporting week cheese export prices remained at US$5,500–5,600 per MT, unchanged against previous week.   

WHEY  

Within reporting week, home market whey prices made up UAH6.8–7.1 per kg.   
Within this week whey export offer prices made up US$850 per MT.
In particular, within this week domestic market demineralized whey prices were in the range of UAH8.2–8.5 per kg; demineralized whey export price ranged within US$940–1,000 per MT. 

CASEIN

Within reporting week domestic casein market situation remained the same. As of this week, there was actually no domestic market casein trade.  
Within this week domestic market casein prices fluctuated within UAH59–62 per kg.              
There was no casein export within this week. As of this week, casein export offer prices ranged within US$7,600–7,700 per MT.

Ukrainian dairy products’ export prices (US$ per MT)

Article

 

December 2, 2010

November 25, 2010

Nov 2010

Oct 2010

Nov 2009

MIN

MAX

MIN

MAX

SMP

↑↓

2450

2500

2400

2600

2650

2913

2825

WMP

=

3800

3800

3800

3800

3813

3938

3075

Block butter (72.5%, state standard)

=

5000

5000

5000

5000

5000

5050

4150

Hard full-fat cheeses (45–50%)

=

5500

5600

5500

5600

5500

5863

4100

Extra grade technical casein

=

7600

7700

7600

7700

7875

7950

6100

SMP − Skimmed Milk Powder, WMP − Whole Milk Powder

Ukrainian dairy products’ domestic market prices,
EXW plant (UAH per MT, incl. VAT) 

Article

 

December 2, 2010

November 25, 2010

Nov 2010

Oct 2010

Nov 2009

MIN

MAX

MIN

MAX

SMP

=

22000

25000

22000

25000

23750

27125

25000

WMP

=

35000

37000

35000

37000

34125

37250

27500

Block butter (72.5%, state standard)

=↓

39000

41500

39000

42000

40750

45375

39000

Hard full-fat cheeses (45–50%)

=↑

43000

48000

43000

45000

46875

57875

37000

Extra grade technical casein

=

59000

62000

59000

62000

62750

65875

55000

SMP − Skimmed Milk Powder, WMP − Whole Milk Powder

Hryvnia official exchange rate (up to National Bank of Ukraine) against several foreign currencies
 

December 1, 2010

November 24, 2010

November 17, 2010

November 10, 2010

100 US$

793.8000

793.7700

793.5700

791.0700

100 EUR

1031.7812

1071.2720

1080.2075

1103.1471

10 RUB

2.5334

2.5389

2.5553

2.5633

100 KZT

5.3788

5.3866

5.3732

5.3574

23.12.2010


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