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Ukrainian oilseeds market

AGRO PERSPECTIVE «Ukrainian Grain & Oilseed Market » November 12-18, 2010`45`(299)

Sunflower

   Within reporting week Ukrainian domestic market sunseeds prices have slightly grown against previous week. It is to be admitted, within this week many market operators have suspended sunseeds purchasing due to sunoil prices fall.
As of this week, EXW basis sunseeds purchase prices have reached UAH4,200–4,350 per MT
(CPT basis purchase prices ranged within UAH4,200–4,400 per MT depending on sunseeds
quality/shipment region).  
Within this week Ukrainian sunseeds export prices ranged within US$600–625 per MT (FOB Black Sea ports).
As of Nov 12/10, Ukrainian agrarians have harvested 7.11 mn MT sunseeds at 4.43 mn ha (99.6% planned); sunseeds average yield equaled to 16,0 metric centners per ha (up against last year similar 15,8 metric centners per ha). As of Nov 12/09, Ukrainian agrarians had harvested 6.547 mn MT sunseeds at 4.148 mn ha. 
As to Ministry of Agrarian Policy data, as of this year Nov 12, Ukrainian sunseeds average purchase price was UAH4,018 per MT, up against last week UAH3,991 per MT.   
As of this year Nov 12, Ukrainian sunseeds minimal purchase price was registered in AR of the Crimea (UAH3,550 per MT), while maximal purchase price was registered in Lugansk region (UAH4,350 per MT). 
It is to be admitted, this year Nov 12 Ukrainian sunseeds average purchase price is 67% up against last year Nov 12 (UAH2,400 per MT).
As to this year Nov 8-Nov 12 Ukrainian exchange markets trade results, 2 class sunsseds (2010 crop) average sale price was UAH3,128.60 per MT (CPT, spot); minimal sale price was UAH3,126.31 per MT (CPT, spot), maximal — UAH4,113.20 per MT (CPT, spot). 
As to Ministry of Agrarian Policy data, Ukrainian exchange market new crop sunseeds trade volume totaled (as of this year Nov 12) 49,288 MT, incl. spot trade — 45,020 MT (domestic contracts — 2,633 MT; export contracts — 42,387 MT) and forward trade — 4,268 MT (only export contracts).
As to State Statistics Committee, experts estimate Nov 01/10 sunseeds reserves (stored on grains processing/storage companies) as much as 3,545.358 MT.                                     
As to Committee, Nov 01/10 sunseeds reserves are up 687,667 MT (+ 24%) against Nov 01/09 (2,857.691 MT). 

Sunoil, sun.pell

    Within reporting week Chicago Exchange soy.oil prices significant decline has caused Ukrainian sunoil market panic; all market operations have been suspended. Sellers took wait-and-see position and remained passive; purchasers waited for prices further decline and so abstained from purchases. However, within this week Ukrainian crude sunoil still was demanded by RF and Kazakhstan.                     
As of this week, Ukrainian crude sunoil market followed global market tendencies and therefore has much slackened. Thus, Ukrainian crude sunoil export prices have declined to US$1,330–1,350 per MT (Dec 2010 shipments, FOB Black Sea ports) and US$1,300–1,310 per MT (Feb-Mar    2010 shipments, FOB Black Sea ports).

   Within this week Ukrainian domestic crude sunoil market prices were going up. As of this week, producers declared UAH10,400–10,700 per MT (EXW) crude sunoil domestic sale prices.                
Within reporting week Ukrainian sun.pell export market prices remained relatively stable. Thus, this week DAF Belarus basis prices ranged within US$295–305 per MT (DAF Poland basis prices were US$280–290 per MT). 
As of this week, domestic market sun.pell prices ranged within UAH2,200–2,450 per MT; sunseeds meal prices fluctuated within UAH1,950–2,100 per MT (depending on quality/shipment region). 

As to Ministry of Agrarian Policy data, this year Nov 12 Ukrainian packaged sunoil average wholesale price was UAH10,58 per kg, up 22% against last year similar UAH8,65 per kg.     
As of this year Nov 12, Ukrainian packaged sunoil minimal wholesale price was registered in Vinnytsia region (UAH9,0 per kg), while maximal price was registered in Rivne region (UAH11,40 per kg).

Export prices of Ukrainian sunflower complex articles

Delivery basis    

17.11.2010

Changes within
week, %            

10.11.2010

Crude sunoil in bulk (US$ per MT)

 

Offer

Demand

Average

 

Offer

Demand

Average

EXW*, UAH per MT

10,700

10,400

10,550

+2

10,400

10,200

10,300

FOB Black Sea ports

1,350

1,330

1,340

-3

1,395

1,360

1,378

*Domestic warehouses prices 

 

Export prices of Ukrainian sunflower complex articles

Delivery basis    

17.11.2010

Changes within
week, %            

10.11.2010

Sun.pell (US$ per MT)

 

Offer

Demand

Average

 

Offer

Demand

Average

EXW*, UAH per MT

2,450

2,200

2,325

-

2,450

2,200

2,325

DAF Poland 

290

280

285

-

290

280

285

DAF Belarus

305

295

300

-

305

295

300

FOB Black Sea ports 

-

-

-

-

255

245

250

*Domestic warehouses prices

Rape

 
Within reporting week domestic rape seeds market prices remained relatively stable as domestic free rape reserves have been already almost exhausted.        
As of this week, 1 class food rape prices fluctuated within UAH4,300–4,400 per MT (CPT port), 2 class technical rape prices were UAH4,100–4,200 per MT (CPT port). 
This week rape oil price equaled to UAH12,900 per MT, EXW.
As to Ministry of Agrarian Policy data, this year Nov 12  Ukrainian rape average purchase price was UAH3,759 per MT, up against last week UAH3,748 per MT.
As of this year Nov 12, Ukrainian rape minimal purchase price was registered in Kyiv region (UAH3,425 per MT), while maximal purchase price was registered in Poltava region (UAH4,220 per MT). 
It is to be admitted, this year Nov 12 Ukrainian rape average purchase price is 35% up against last year Nov 12 (UAH2,775 per MT).

   As to this year Nov 8-Nov 12 Ukrainian exchange markets trade results, new crop food rape average price was UAH4,110.32 per MT (DAF, spot). In total 2,450 MT rape were offered at this price. Minimal rape sale price was UAH3,496.22 per MT (DAF, spot), maximal — UAH4,528.35 per MT (DAF, spot).  
As to Ministry of Agrarian Policy data, volume of new crop rape trade on Ukrainian exchange market (as of this year Nov 12) has reached 1,122.828 MT, incl. spot trade — 551,608 MT (domestic contracts — 470 MT; export contracts — 551,138 MT) and forward trade — 571,220  MT (only export contracts).
As to State Statistics Committee, experts estimate this year Nov 1 rape reserves (stored on grains processing/storage companies) as much as 362,358 MT.                                        
As to experts, this year Nov 1 rape reserves are down 227,492 MT (- 39%) against last year
Nov 1 (589,850 MT). 
As of this year Nov 12, Ukrainian agrarians have sown winter rape at 1,034.000 ha (85% total planned 1.223 mn ha).  

Soybeans

            
Within this week Ukrainian soybeans market prices remained relatively stable. 
As of this week, domestic market high-protein content soybeans prices ranged within UAH3,200–3,300 per MT, EXW (low-protein — UAH3,000–3,100 per MT, EXW). 
This week domestic market CPT/DAF basis soybeans prices fluctuated within US$405–415 per MT.    
Within reporting week low-protein content soy.pell prices ranged within UAH3,950–4,050 per MT, EXW (high-protein — UAH4,100–4,300 per MT, EXW).       
As of this week, soyoil prices fluctuated within UAH9,150–9,250 per MT, EXW. 
 As to Ministry of Agrarian Policy data, as of this year Nov 12, Ukrainian soybeans average purchase price was UAH3,170 per MT, up as of last week UAH3,105 per MT.    
As of this year Nov 12, Ukrainian soybeans minimal purchase price was registered in Kyiv region (UAH3,005 per MT), while maximal purchase price was registered in Sumy region (UAH3,300 per MT).  
It is to be admitted, this year Nov 12 Ukrainian soybeans average purchase price is down 1% against last year Nov 12 (UAH3,201 per MT). 
As to this year Nov 8-Nov 12 Ukrainian exchange markets trade results, soybeans (2010 crop) average sale price was UAH3,250.29 per MT (CPT, spot); minimal sale price was UAH2,926.70 per MT (CPT, spot); maximal — UAH3,404.18 per MT (CPT, spot).
As to Ministry of Agrarian Policy data, Ukrainian exchange market new crop soybeans trade volume totaled (as of this year Nov 12) 180,960 MT, incl. spot trade — 133,245 MT (domestic contracts — 83 MT, export contracts — 133,162 MT) and forward trade — 47,715 MT (only export contracts). 

 As to State Statistics Committee, experts estimate Nov 01/10 soybeans stocks (stored on grains processing/storage companies) as much as 516,667 MT.                                     
As to Committee, Nov 01/10 soybeans reserves are up 2,3 times (+ 292,068 MT) against Nov  01/09 (224,599 MT). 
As of this year Nov 12, Ukrainian agrarians have harvested 1.624 mn MT soybeans, up against last year similar 984,000 MT.
This year Nov 12 soybeans average yield is 16 metric centners per ha (down against last year similar 16,5 metric centners per ha).
As of this year Nov 12, agrarians have harvested soybeans at 1,024.000 ha (down against total planned 1,059.000 ha). As of last year Nov 12, agrarians had harvested soybeans at 596,000 ha.

03.12.2010


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