Global rapeseed supplies in 2022/23 are projected to a record 100.5 MMT
02.06.2022 11:11 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) —
According to the report of the USDA Oilseeds: World Markets and Trade (May 2022), global rapeseed supplies in 2022/23 are projected to rise 10 percent to a record 100.5 million tons as production in Canada recovers from last year’s devastating drought. Both global harvested area and production are projected to be records. Reduced carryover, the smallest in nearly 20 years, will necessitate some stock-building in the coming year and provide a measure of price support. Exports are projected to rise significantly above this year’s current forecast but will fall short of the 2020/21 record volume as stock building and strong crush recovery in Canada restrict exportable supplies. Global rapeseed crush is forecast to reach a record 75.1 million tons. Global rapeseed meal production is forecast up 7 percent to a record in 2022/23. Canada leads the way in production growth as seed supplies rebound. Larger seed supplies in the European Union and China, driven by larger production and seed imports, will facilitate crush and meal production growth in the coming year. Global rapeseed meal trade is projected to rise nearly 1.0 million tons as importers push purchases to near 2020/21 levels. Much of this is driven by increased exports from Canada. Higher meal production and increased trade will support record global consumption. Record global crush will also push rapeseed oil production to a record 30.7 million tons in 2022/23. The same dynamics driving rapeseed meal trade and consumption are also in play in the oil market. Global rapeseed oil supplies are expected to remain tight with rising consumption and tight supplies of other oils. Consumption is projected to rise 1.0 million tons, reaching a record 30.2 million. Food oil use accounts for most of the growth with industrial use, primarily in biofuels, expected to grow slowly. Global rapeseed oil stocks will improve over this year’s low but will likely remain well below the 10-year average stock level. Highlights • United States rapeseed production in 2022/23 is forecast record large following last season’s drought. A return to trend yield and record plantings will drive production growth. A larger crop in Canada will boost imports and allow crush to rise to near the 2020/21 record. Rapeseed meal imports, primarily from Canada, are projected to rebound to near the 2020/21 level with consumption near the 5-year average. Record oil production and imports will support record consumption in the coming year. • Australia rapeseed production is forecast to decline 1.7 million tons below this year’s record. Stable plantings and a return to trend yield are driving the lower production. Exports will respond by falling 1.1 million tons with crush remaining near maximum volume. This will allow domestic consumption of meal and oil to remain near current levels and limit oil exports to near this year’s forecast. • Canada rapeseed production is projected at recover from this year’s drought reduced crop. A return to trend yield is projected to raise production to 20.0 million tons. Planted area is forecast lower on competition with wheat and other grains. Both crush and exports are forecast to rise from this year’s depressed levels but will fall short of those seen in the recent past. Projected carryin at a 9- year low and a need to replenish working stocks will be a limiting factor. Exports of meal and oil will return to near-normal levels in 2022/23 as strong U.S. demand supports higher exports. • China rapeseed imports in 2022/23 are projected to rise in conjunction with the increase in Canada’s production. Local production is forecast at a record volume as trend yields coupled with the largest plantings in nearly 10 years pushes production 5 percent higher. This will yield a larger crush and increase in meal and oil consumption in the coming year. Growing meal and oil supplies inForeign Agricultural Service/USDA 7 May 2022 Global Market Analysis Canada will provide the means to maintain meal imports at current levels while adding to rape oil imports and replenishment of rapeseed oil stocks. • European Union rapeseed production is projected to rise on larger plantings in 2022/23. Imports are forecast to recover as larger supplies in Canada more than offset reduced availability from Australia. Projected larger supplies will permit both an increase in crush and replenishment of stocks depleted this year. Additional meal and oil production will go towards maintaining rapeseed meal consumption near historic norms and allowing food oil consumption to maintain trend growth. • Ukraine rapeseed production is forecast to rise despite the ongoing hostilities. Near-record planted area will drive production of 3.2 million tons. Rapeseed area is concentrated in western Ukraine, away from the hostilities. Yield is forecast to fall below 2021, closer to trend. Historically, close to 90 percent of production is exported as seed, with 90 percent of exports to Europe. Consequently, Ukraine is less reliant on Black Sea port access and presents growers with an attractive option for planting. Crush is projected to rise modestly with increased exports of meal and oil, primarily to Europe.
26.07.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
09:28 |
Ongoing Economic Crisis in Argentina Impacts Dairy |
15.07.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
10:28 |
Decline of China Pork Imports Continues in 2024 |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
08:20 |
Lower Prices Propel Mexico 2023/24 Soybean Meal Imports |
13.07.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
10:15 |
China Imports of Major Feed Grains at Record for Oct-May period |
12.07.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
01:08 |
Climate risks projected to affect fish biomass around the world's ocean, FAO report says |
06.07.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
10:15 |
Global cereal production 2024 forecast scaled up and now set to exceed the 2023 level |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
10:01 |
FAO Food Price Index stable in June |
03.07.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
12:31 |
World pear production for MY 2023/24 is projected up more than 275,000 tons to 25.2 million |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
12:23 |
U.S. wheat exports are forecast to rebound by more than a million tons in the 2024/25 marketing year |
01.07.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
08:58 |
World apple production for MY 2023/24 is forecast to rise more than 700,000 tons to 83.7 million |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
08:39 |
World coffee production for 2024/25 is forecast to rebound 7.1 million bags |
25.06.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
17:57 |
Central, Eastern and South-Eastern European banks report strengthening loan demand and improving profitability |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
17:05 |
Global Environment Facility approves $70 million to support FAO projects in 28 countries |
24.06.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
04:15 |
Emergency brake triggered for oat imports from Ukraine |
23.06.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
09:00 |
Colombia Production: Two Periods of Sharp Decline |
19.06.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
15:35 |
World pear production for MY 2023/24 is projected up more than 275,000 tons to 25.2 million |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
10:35 |
India Apple Imports Forecast at a Record High |
12.06.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
09:21 |
FAO Food Price Index slightly up in May: higher cereal and dairy prices offset easing sugar and vegetable oil quotations |
03.06.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
14:04 |
Commission clarifies support for farmers in case of exceptional weather events |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
13:33 |
Digitalization: it is time to bridge the gap between urban and rural areas |
22.05.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
18:25 |
Two years of Solidarity Lanes have brought the EU, Ukraine and Moldova closer together |
21.05.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
08:10 |
Seven additional private sector leaders announce support for Antimicrobial Use Stewardship Principles in poultry, now includes over 40% of global poultry meat production |
13.05.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
23:32 |
EU extends trade support to Ukraine for one more year |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
04:36 |
European Union corn is forecast at 18.0 million tons |
11.05.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
18:55 |
2024/25 Grain Consumption Expands while Trade Moderates |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
18:47 |
Oilseeds Stocks Forecast to Reach Record Highs in 2024/25 |
06.05.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
09:17 |
The International Year of the Woman Farmer in 2026 Approved by the UN General Assembly, it will increase awareness of the crucial role women farmers play in agrifood systems |
04.05.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
08:10 |
2024 wheat forecast trimmed |
03.05.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
21:25 |
Rising international quotations for meat, cereals and vegetable oils offset drops for dairy and sugar |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
07:10 |
El Niño and La Niña: four crucial steps to build climate resilience |
01.05.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
08:25 |
Acute hunger remains persistently high in 59 countries with 1 in 5 people assessed in need of critical urgent action |
29.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
10:43 |
New CEO at BASF: Martin Brudermüller hands over to Markus Kamieth |
25.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
09:45 |
Parliament approves a revision of the EU’s common agricultural policy |
23.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
16:23 |
MEPs approve trade support measures for Ukraine with protection for EU farmers |
17.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
18:08 |
Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food predicts this year’s harvest of grains and oilseeds at about 74 million tonnes |
16.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
12:12 |
West Africa Cocoa Shortage Pushes Up Prices |
11.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
23:48 |
U.S. Soybean Meal Exports Forecast at Consecutive Records in 2022/23 and 2023/24 |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
23:10 |
EU Wheat Exports Challenged by Russia’s Growing Dominance |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
11:30 |
Country of origin of honey must be clearly visible on the label. EU honey traceability system to be developed |
10.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
15:59 |
Commission starts setting up the Agriculture and Food Chain Observatory |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
15:33 |
Commission approves ˆ2.2 billion German State aid scheme to support the decarbonisation of industrial processes to foster the transition to a net-zero economy |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
13:17 |
Donau Soja urges EU for clarity on EUDR implementation |
09.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
10:44 |
Ukraine remained the third source of EU imports in 2023, with a value of EUR 11.8 billion |
06.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
10:04 |
World cereal output seen up in 2023/24 |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
09:55 |
FAO Food Price Index rises in March |
05.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
10:04 |
Shellfish Crop Insurance Program Offers Oyster Producers Needed Protection from Environmental Challenges and More |
03.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
23:01 |
Croatian horseradish root ‘Ludbreški hren' added to register of Protected Designations of Origin |
02.04.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
10:15 |
FAO and chef Fatmata Binta announce new project to empower women fonio producers in Ghana |
28.03.2024 |
|
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
![](/_img/new/px.gif) |
|
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
12:55 |
Council compromise on Ukraine ATMs – Only a half step forward in the right direction |
![](/_img/new/picto_new.gif) |
09:18 |
Commission approves amendment to Italian State aid scheme to support companies in Friuli Venezia Giulia in the context of Russia's war against Ukraine |
Also available:
![](/_img/new/px.gif)
|