North Africa Shifts Toward Black Sea Supplies for Wheat Imports

12.07.2025 09:15 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) —
According to the report of the USDA Grain: World Markets and Trade (July 2025), North Africa (Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, and Morocco) accounts for approximately 15 percent of global wheat imports. In 2024/25 (July June), global wheat trade contracted by more than 10 percent as China, Turkey, Pakistan, and other key importers purchased less from the global market. By contrast, North Africa saw imports rise by 1 percent as demand for this primary staple remained resilient. North Africa became a battleground for major exporters and increasingly sourced wheat from the Black Sea region. Russia has become the dominant supplier, supplanting market share primarily from the EU, while Ukraine has also seen expansion of market share. In 2024/25, Russia’s total wheat exports declined due to smaller supplies, however, shipments to nearby North African markets expanded. Russia seized the opportunity owing to smaller exportable supplies in the European Union. Notably, Russia garnered a near 50 percent market share in the region, with around 70 percent market share in Egypt, and was nearly the sole supplier to Libya. Russia exports to Tunisia are up 50 percent, while shipments to Morocco have more than doubled, offsetting reduced shipments from France (see the Morocco June 2025 Grain Update for further details). Ukraine’s wheat exports to the region continued to recover in 2024/25 from its sharp decline at the start of the Russia-Ukraine war. Ukraine strategically expanded to North African markets this year, capitalizing on geographic and logistical advantages. For example, Algeria became its third largest market, with exports nearly tripling over the past year. Meanwhile, Ukraines shipments to Tunisia rose by more than 50 percent, as EU exports there plummeted. As a result of reduced exportable supplies, EU market share to the region fell to just over 25 percent. Major exporter France, which experienced its smallest crop in decades, saw declines in exports to numerous markets, including Morocco and Algeria. The Algerian government has not included France in its wheat tenders over the past year, resulting in no shipments since July 2024. AGRO PERSPECTIVA offers Agro + «Ukrainian Grain & Oilseed Market» weekly analytical bulletin. Concerning subscription please contact: client@agroperspectiva.com or +380675964652 (WhatsApp, Viber, Telegram).
04.03.2026 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
06:08 |
Fertilizer prices set to spike: What the Iran conflict means for your farm |
03.03.2026 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
23:39 |
Arla to invest 300 million euros in new Swedish cheese plant |
19.02.2026 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
10:04 |
Ukraine’s 2025 farm exports fall 9% to 22.7 bln USD, EU remains top market |
10.02.2026 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
12:49 |
FAO Food Price Index declines in January for fifth consecutive month |
 |
12:18 |
Ukraine poultry producers urge Moldova to hold talks, lift import ban |
02.02.2026 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
08:29 |
Agriculture ministers and partners commit to integrated global action on water scarcity and competing uses |
 |
06:27 |
FAO strengthens food security across Haiti and the Dominican Republic through emergency agriculture and regional agrifood system protection |
25.01.2026 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
19:06 |
EBRD and UKRSIBBANK provide US$ 17 million to YEDNIST' GROUP |
23.01.2026 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
15:07 |
EBRD invests US$ 20 million in Ukrainian-founded learning marketplace leader |
 |
15:05 |
EBRD invests EUR60 million in Amber Dragon Ukraine Infrastructure Fund |
 |
15:03 |
EBRD backs Horizon Capital Catalyst Fund with EUR30 million commitment |
19.01.2026 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
23:36 |
Cargill Advances Maritime Decarbonisation with Delivery of First Green Methanol Dual-Fuel Vessel |
 |
23:21 |
EU and Mercosur sign historic and ambitious partnership |
14.01.2026 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
04:04 |
Argentina Cuts Taxes Again, Enhancing Exports |
04.01.2026 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
08:24 |
Indonesia Robusta coffee production in 2025/26 is forecast to increase - USDA |
 |
05:09 |
Milk Production Continues Growth in 2026 |
30.12.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
09:21 |
Ukraine harvests 57.6 mln tonnes of grain in 2025 – Economy Ministry |
17.12.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
08:58 |
Pigmeat pigmeat production on a declining trend |
14.12.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
20:32 |
France, Germany, Spain, and Italy Lead EU Crop Production in 2024 |
10.12.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
20:21 |
EBRD and EU support a EUR100 million affordable housing initiative to support Ukraine’s recovery |
06.12.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
08:31 |
EBRD backs green transport upgrade for Cherkasy, Ukraine |
19.11.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
06:43 |
Autumn 2025 Economic Forecast shows continued growth despite challenging environment |
 |
05:25 |
Disasters cost global agriculture $3.26 trillion over three decades, FAO report reveals |
 |
05:23 |
Nitrogen management takes a major step forward in Europe. NitroScope project launches in Ghent |
 |
02:57 |
Global sugar trade in 2025/26 forecasted at 65.2 million tonnes – FAO |
 |
02:45 |
Global Wheat Production Set to Reach Record Level in 2025 |
17.11.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
19:34 |
International support for Ukraine demonstrated through major rail contract |
15.11.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
16:35 |
EBRD finances new private peak energy generation and storage capacity in Ukraine |
14.11.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
14:59 |
EBRD supports food and beverage security in Ukraine with EUR11 million loan to Karpaty Mineral Water |
 |
14:57 |
EBRD extends new guarantee to ProCredit Bank Ukraine to unlock extra EUR200 million in lending |
 |
14:51 |
EBRD and IFC co-invest in Dragon Capital’s Rebuild Ukraine Fund |
28.10.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
08:27 |
Supply of cattle to processing enterprises decreased. Pig supplies increased |
23.10.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
23:47 |
Commission mobilises ˆ50 million in emergency support to farmers in Bulgaria, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Romania |
 |
23:43 |
Commission proposes measures to support generational renewal in agriculture to secure Europe's food, farming and rural future |
17.10.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
22:05 |
Andrew MacPherson to be appointed CEO of Teys beef processing business |
16.10.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
17:07 |
FAO marks World Food Day and 80 years of collective action for a better future |
07.10.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
06:23 |
World Cotton Day. 7 October. Key messages |
 |
06:00 |
Global cotton production is expected to grow by 1.3% annually, primarily driven by yield improvements, reaching 29.5 Mt by 2034 |
05.10.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
22:03 |
FAO Food Price Index declined slightly in September |
 |
20:22 |
Cereal markets remain well supplied, with a positive outlook for the short term |
28.09.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
15:31 |
HIGHLIGHTS: EU exports remained stable in the first half of 2025, while import prices increased |
26.09.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
14:26 |
New FAO report assesses progress towards food and agriculture SDG indicators |
 |
10:49 |
EBRD lowers Ukraine 2025 growth forecast to 2.5 per cent |
 |
07:40 |
Turkey Stone Fruit Exports Forecast to Fall After Spring Frosts |
24.09.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
14:08 |
EBRD supports Ukraine’s agribusiness sector |
17.09.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
19:27 |
Sudan: FAO moves to protect 9.4 million livestock in nationwide vaccination campaign |
14.09.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
11:57 |
Global oilseeds production is raised this month on higher soybean production in Ukraine - USDA |
 |
10:14 |
Global Raspberry Market Under Pressure Amid Weather Extremes, Rising Costs, and Shifting Yields |
13.09.2025 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
16:18 |
Improved prospects for coarse grains put global cereal production in 2025 forecast at all-time high |
 |
10:30 |
U.S. Corn Exports Forecast at Back-to-Back Records |
Also available:

|